Cam Newton vs Tom Brady Props for 2020 NFL Season

Brady and Newton speak

Cam Newton and Tom Brady are pitted in H2H props for the 2020 season. Photo from @4zzato (Twitter)
  • A set of head-to-head prop wagers pitting Tom Brady against Cam Newton during the 2020 NFL season have been released
  • Who will win more games? Which one will have the leading passing yardage? Who’s going to throw for more touchdowns?
  • Analysis of each prop and advice on which way to play them follows in the story below

Once Cam Newton signed with the New England Patriots, the comparisons between him and Tom Brady were inevitable. That’s the price of following a legend.

A series of prop bets are now out, offering head-to-head wagering on the numbers Brady and Newton will produce during the 2020 NFL season.

Tom Brady vs Cam Newton 2020 NFL Season Props

Prop Brady Odds Newton Odds
Most Wins Tom Brady -0.5 (-120) Cam Newton +0.5 (-120)
Most Passing Yards Tom Brady -400 Cam Newton +250
Most Touchdown Passes Tom Brady -350 Cam Newton +225

Odds taken June 30th. Both players must start first game and team must be scheduled for 16 games in the 2020-21 NFL regular season for action.

Brady left the Patriots to sign with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. If Newton beats out Jarrett Stidham for the New England starting QB job, it’ll be the first time since 1993 that the Patriots have started a #1 QB who wasn’t homegrown.

Brady’s Winning Ways

No matter what he achieves with the Patriots, Newton isn’t going to outdo Brady. He won’t bring six Super Bowl titles to Foxborough.

Sports, though, are a results-oriented business. It’s about what a player can do for a team right now.

Say what you will about Brady, the guy just wins. He’s never endured a losing season. Brady has hit double digits in wins in 11 straight seasons.

Through nine NFL campaigns, Newton has enjoyed three winning seasons. He’s 6-10 over his last 16 starts.

Tom Brady/Cam Newton NFL Season Averages

Stat Tom Brady Cam Newton
Wins 12.3 8.7
Passing Yardage 4186.4 3717.2
Touchdown Passes 30.4 23.3

Brady is giving Newton a half-game spread to start the season in this prop. No matter. Only a fool bets against Brady when winning is involved.

Pick: Tom Brady (-120)

Newton’s End Zone Theory

In his last full NFL season in 2018, Newton thew 24 touchdowns. Last season, Brady threw 24 TDs of his own.

Newton is averaging 23.3 TD passes per season during his NFL career. Over his past four full seasons, he averaged 25 TD passes per year.

Brady, 42, has watched his TD pass numbers decline for three successive seasons. He threw for 32 scores in 2017 and 29  in 2018 before the 24 he engineered last season.

He’s averaged 30.4 TD passes per season over his career. However, since league-leading 36 TD passes in 2015, he’s averaging just 28.3 over the past four seasons.

Take the price and play a hunch on Newton with this prop.

Pick: Cam Newton (+225)

Super Bowl 55 Odds Tracker

Brady Will Throw a Bunch

In Tampa Bay, Brady will find no shortage of targets. He has two 1,000-yard wideouts at his disposal in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. The Bucs also lured former All-Pro tight end Rob Gronkowski out of retirement.

Remember, Brady’s predecessor Jameis Winston led the NFL in passing yardage in 2019.

Newton doesn’t have that sort of receiving talent to target. As well, the Pats may opt to limit his snaps to protect his injury-prone body.

Brady has gone over 4,000 yards through the air three years in succession and in seven of the last eight seasons. Newton hasn’t topped 4,000 yards since 2011, his rookie season.

Pick: Tom Brady (-400)

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