- The hosts have conceded 19 times in their last four league games.
- Sampdoria have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven league outings.
- The last six games between these two have averaged 3.8 goals per match.
- Lecce have lost seven and won only two of their last 11 meetings with Sampdoria at home.
Battle for survival
Two of the bottom four clash on Wednesday night, as both look to avoid the drop. Lecce seem the only member of the bottom three who could make it out of danger this term, but they will need to pick up points in clashes like this one. Meanwhile, this is a major test of Claudio Ranieri’s rescue job at Sampdoria.
Ranieri has won just one point in his last two Serie A meetings with Lecce, having won three of the previous four against them in the top-flight. This would be a perfect time to restore that strong record, as Samp need the points to avoid the major blow of dropping to Serie B. Our predictions point to the visitors edging the points in an exciting clash.
Tough times for Lecce
While Lecce still have a fighting chance of staying up, they are going through a tough spell of form. The hosts have lost their last four Serie A games by an aggregate scoreline of 3-19 after conceding four goals in each of their games since the restart. That’s left them with the league’s worst defence, but things could yet get worse in this clash.
Lecce have conceded 11 goals in their last two home games – the only team to concede more in consecutive games at home was Foggia in 1992. That’s left an opening for Samp, who have scored in each of their games since the restart. While the visitors have lost all three, they will have hope of turning that around by piling onto the host’s defensive issues.
Decisive defensive weaknesses
Both sides have major concerns at the back, with Samp conceding twice in each of their last three in Serie A, failing to keep a clean sheet in seven in the league. The visitors have conceded goals in each of their last four away games (10 in total). They’ve seen 62% of their trips overall finish with at least three goals scored, while this is a clash which tends to be entertaining. The last six meetings between Lecce and Sampdoria have seen both sides score (average of 3.8 goals per game during this period). Following that run, we see value in backing over 2.5 goals here.
The hosts’ bid for survival could be dealt a blow based on recent meetings between these two. Lecce have won just two of their 11 Serie A games against Sampdoria at home (D2 L7). Meanwhile, Samp are unbeaten away to Lecce since 1991, with the hosts picking-up just one point in their last seven home games against the Blucerchiati. The visitors have been to three of the bottom seven this term, winning them all. With Lecce suffering seven home defeats, our correct score prediction is a 2-1 away win.
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